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Publications

Towards a leptospirosis early warning system in northeastern Argentina

Lotto Batista M et al. – J. Roy. Soc. Interface

This study demonstrates that hydrometeorological indicators, including El Niño, precipitation, and river height, are strong predictors of leptospirosis outbreaks in northeastern Argentina. By using a Bayesian modelling framework, the researchers found that climate-driven models accurately detected 89% of outbreaks, suggesting that such tools could effectively contribute to an early warning system for leptospirosis in the region.

DOI: 10.1098/rsif.2023.0069

West Nile virus eco-epidemiology and climate change

Julian Heidecke; Andrea Lavarello Schettini; Joacim Rocklöv – Crossref

This review explores WNV’s eco-epidemiology, the role of modeling in knowledge generation, and the importance of a One Health approach for better surveillance and policy development.

DOI: 10.1371/journal.pclm.0000129

The role of global reanalyses in climate services for health: Insights from the Lancet Countdown

Claudia Di Napoli et al. – Meteorological Applications

This article highlights the need for climate-smart decisions in public health due to extreme weather events. The Lancet Countdown system uses reanalysis datasets like ERA5 to track global climate-related health impacts, such as heatwaves and disease transmission, and provides indicators to measure these effects. Public health professionals should collaborate to refine these datasets for better health outcomes.

DOI: 10.1002/met.2122

European projections of West Nile virus transmission under climate change scenarios

Zia Farooq et al. – One Health, Vol 16, Iss , Pp 100509- (2023), 16 February 2023
West Nile virus (WNV) risk in Europe is expected to rise significantly due to climate change. Projections show up to a 5-fold increase in outbreaks by 2040-60, with affected areas growing from 15% to 23-30%, putting up to 244 million people at risk. Western Europe faces the highest risk, driven by climate conditions favorable for WNV transmission, necessitating stronger public health measures.

DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2023.100509

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